Michigan Voters on Democratic Digital Messaging Effectiveness
Evaluate how Michigan voters perceive Democratic Party messaging on economic issues and understand what digital content resonates
Research group: Six rural Michigan voters (ages 32–74; retirees, a construction manager, a home-health aide, and a customer success professional) assessed social ads and 2026 vote drivers.
They stop for neighborly, hyper-local proofs-dollars and dates, named roads/clinics, real local people, short captioned assets-and scroll past glossy/celebrity spots, early donation asks, culture-war scolding, vague national rhetoric, and autoplay audio.
On “protecting democracy/fighting extremism,” most agree in principle but see it as fundraising TV talk unless tied to concrete, near-term benefits like lower bills, reliable plows/broadband, Medicare/Social Security/drug-price stability, and pragmatic public safety.
Priority gaps to earn votes center on rural healthcare/eldercare and VA navigation, winter energy and propane affordability/reliability, real broadband, and simpler, faster rules and payments for small trades, delivered with respect for faith, lawful gun ownership, and rural life.
Main insights: Proof-first beats slogans; keep creative short, captioned, low-bandwidth; lead with kitchen-table fixes; avoid donate-first CTAs; and segment variants for faith/privacy, hunting/trades, and Great Lakes stewardship.
Takeaways: Stand up county-level “receipts” assets, remove donation CTAs from awareness ads, ship local issue cards (roads, Medicare/VA, broadband, heat, water, safety) with named places and timelines, and deploy segment-specific creatives to lift attention and trust.
Lee Carter
Rural Michigan Catholic veteran, 60, married without children, on a tight fixed income. Pragmatic, frugal, and community-oriented. Values durability, transparency, and self-reliance, with limited mobility and bandwidth influencing daily choices and purchases.
Miranda Anderson
Rural Michigan credit union manager, 43, married without kids, faith-led and community-minded. Hybrid worker, practical buyer, gardener, kayaker. Values reliability, privacy, and clear pricing; wary of subscriptions, condescension, and spotty rural tech.
Michael Ellis
Rural Michigan construction cleanup lead, 32, single, uninsured veteran. Budget-conscious, tool-loyal, Catholic by habit. Loves hunting, dogs, classic rock, and straightforward value. Prefers durable, practical solutions with honest pricing and local support.
Cindy Schmidt
Cindy Schmidt, widowed 69-year-old in rural Michigan on fixed income. Pragmatic, frugal, and neighborly. Values reliability, clear pricing, and offline options. Enjoys quilting, gardening, PBS, and routines with her rescue cat, Clover.
Carolyn Kelley
Warm, widowed 74-year-old in rural Michigan; faith-rooted, practical, and community-minded. Comfortable on Medicare with supplemental coverage, tech-cautious but capable. Loves quilting, gardening, and family. Values reliability, clarity, and neighborly ser…
Maren Hughes
Maren Hughes, rural Michigan caregiver, Hindu by marriage, bilingual home. Frugal, family-first, and reliable. Drives client-to-client, cooks vegetarian, and favors durable, transparent brands. Practical, warm, and gently witty with a community-centered, mo…
Lee Carter
Rural Michigan Catholic veteran, 60, married without children, on a tight fixed income. Pragmatic, frugal, and community-oriented. Values durability, transparency, and self-reliance, with limited mobility and bandwidth influencing daily choices and purchases.
Miranda Anderson
Rural Michigan credit union manager, 43, married without kids, faith-led and community-minded. Hybrid worker, practical buyer, gardener, kayaker. Values reliability, privacy, and clear pricing; wary of subscriptions, condescension, and spotty rural tech.
Michael Ellis
Rural Michigan construction cleanup lead, 32, single, uninsured veteran. Budget-conscious, tool-loyal, Catholic by habit. Loves hunting, dogs, classic rock, and straightforward value. Prefers durable, practical solutions with honest pricing and local support.
Cindy Schmidt
Cindy Schmidt, widowed 69-year-old in rural Michigan on fixed income. Pragmatic, frugal, and neighborly. Values reliability, clear pricing, and offline options. Enjoys quilting, gardening, PBS, and routines with her rescue cat, Clover.
Carolyn Kelley
Warm, widowed 74-year-old in rural Michigan; faith-rooted, practical, and community-minded. Comfortable on Medicare with supplemental coverage, tech-cautious but capable. Loves quilting, gardening, and family. Values reliability, clarity, and neighborly ser…
Maren Hughes
Maren Hughes, rural Michigan caregiver, Hindu by marriage, bilingual home. Frugal, family-first, and reliable. Drives client-to-client, cooks vegetarian, and favors durable, transparent brands. Practical, warm, and gently witty with a community-centered, mo…
Sex / Gender
Race / Ethnicity
Locale (Top)
Occupations (Top)
| Age bucket | Male count | Female count |
|---|
| Income bucket | Participants | US households |
|---|
Summary
Themes
| Theme | Count | Example Participant | Example Quote |
|---|
Outliers
| Agent | Snippet | Reason |
|---|
Overview
Key Segments
| Segment | Attributes | Insight | Supporting Agents |
|---|---|---|---|
| Older rural retirees (60+) |
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Highest sensitivity to benefits and service stability (Medicare, Social Security, VA), winter heating/propane help, and local clinic reliability. Respond strongly to low-data creative that shows concrete receipts (benefit timelines, funding amounts, clinic hours) and rejects autoplay/audio-first ads. | Carolyn Kelley, Lee Carter, Cindy Schmidt |
| Younger blue-collar / trades workers (early 30s) |
|
Prioritizes pragmatic economic fixes (roads/plowing, timely public-contract payments, permitting, apprenticeships, tool/gas support) and outdoor-lifestyle policies (hunting access). Rejects celebrity/high-gloss creative and moralizing climate rhetoric unless paired with practical energy/heat solutions. | Michael Ellis |
| Caregivers / home-health workers (midlife) |
|
Focus on concrete reforms to home-care pay, mileage/toll reimbursement for long rural distances, reduced paperwork for respite, and staffed coverage during nights/weekends. Messaging that ties policy changes to day-to-day logistics and proof points (pay rates, start dates for staffing increases) resonates. | Maren Hughes |
| Higher-income rural professionals (mid-career) |
|
Seeks operational competence (grid/tree crews, energy reliability) and culturally respectful, pro-family framing. Distinct interest in digital-privacy and anti–data-broker policy suggests a creative opportunity to pair faith-friendly, local stewardship messaging with specific tech-policy proposals. | Miranda Anderson |
| Lower-income rural retirees |
|
Acute sensitivity to heating/propane costs and fixed monthly budgets. Respond to timely, tangible heating-assistance messaging and phone-number-enabled, low-data creatives rather than abstract slogans. | Cindy Schmidt, Lee Carter |
| Cross-cut rural cohort |
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Universal preference for local specificity (county roads, local clinic, union hall, farm stand), real local faces (nurses, road crews, veterans), and receipts (dollars, miles, start/end dates). Broad aversion to donation-first creative, celebrity spots, autoplay audio, and vague national slogans. | Carolyn Kelley, Michael Ellis, Maren Hughes, Lee Carter, Miranda Anderson, Cindy Schmidt |
Shared Mindsets
| Trait | Signal | Agents |
|---|---|---|
| Local specificity over national framing | Rural voters want named places/people and locally relevant problems/solutions; references to county roads, local clinics or specific crews increase credibility and attention. | Carolyn Kelley, Michael Ellis, Maren Hughes, Lee Carter, Miranda Anderson, Cindy Schmidt |
| Proof-first persuasion (show receipts) | Concrete metrics-dollar amounts, timelines, before/after imagery, and citations of enacted bills-drive trust across demographics more than slogans or emotional appeals. | Lee Carter, Maren Hughes, Carolyn Kelley, Michael Ellis, Cindy Schmidt |
| Creative format sensitivity | Short, low-bandwidth assets with captions and clear sound-off legibility are preferred; autoplay audio and long narrative spots are frequently rejected in real contexts. | Maren Hughes, Carolyn Kelley, Cindy Schmidt, Lee Carter |
| Rejection of donation-first & celebrity-driven creative | Donation asks on the first screen, celebrity endorsements, and urgency gimmicks reduce credibility and attention across the sample. | Michael Ellis, Carolyn Kelley, Maren Hughes, Cindy Schmidt, Lee Carter |
| Respectful, problem-solving tone | Calm stewardship and public-safety language that acknowledges local constraints performs better than culture-war scolding or moralizing messaging. | Miranda Anderson, Maren Hughes, Carolyn Kelley, Lee Carter |
Divergences
| Segment | Contrast | Agents |
|---|---|---|
| Younger blue-collar vs. Older retirees | Younger blue-collar emphasizes infrastructure payments, apprenticeships, and outdoor-access (hunting) tied to economic supports; older retirees prioritize benefits stability (Medicare/VA), heating assistance, and clinic reliability. | Michael Ellis, Carolyn Kelley, Lee Carter |
| Caregivers vs. other working adults | Caregivers place elevated importance on mileage reimbursement, reduced paperwork, and staffed nights/weekends-practical labor-market fixes rather than abstract wage rhetoric favored by some other workers. | Maren Hughes |
| Higher-income rural professionals (Miranda) vs. general sample | Adds a distinctive emphasis on digital-privacy and anti–data-broker policy paired with faith-friendly, pro-family framing-an intersection less visible in the broader sample and a potential targeted creative wedge. | Miranda Anderson |
| Lower-income retirees vs. higher-income professionals | Lower-income retirees react strongly to immediate financial relief (propane/heating assistance) and low-data outreach, whereas higher-income professionals prioritize infrastructure reliability and policy nuance (privacy/operational competence). | Cindy Schmidt, Lee Carter, Miranda Anderson |
Overview
Operational plan: stand up a county-level Receipts database, ship sound-off templates, remove donate-first CTAs from top-of-funnel, and deploy segmented creative tied to real timelines and costs.
Quick Wins (next 2–4 weeks)
| # | Action | Why | Owner | Effort | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ship 10–15s 'Receipt Cards' per county | Audience demands dollars and dates with local nouns; short, captioned assets outperform glossy videos. | Digital Creative Lead | Low | High |
| 2 | Make all ads sound-off & low-bandwidth by default | Many scroll with sound off and have spotty internet; autoplay audio triggers immediate scroll-past. | Design Systems Lead | Low | High |
| 3 | Remove donate-first CTAs from awareness ads | Donation/urgency gimmicks repel this audience; earn trust first, monetize later via retargeting. | Growth & Media Director | Low | High |
| 4 | Local noun injection in copy | Hyper-local specificity (county, road, clinic, miles paved) increases credibility and attention. | Copy Chief | Low | High |
| 5 | Kitchen-table issue pack (roads, Medicare/VA, broadband, heat, water, safety) | These are the dominant hooks; packaging speeds production and testing. | Issue Marketing PM | Med | High |
| 6 | Segmented variants for outliers | Faith-friendly tone, trades/hunting/energy, tech-privacy, and Great Lakes resonate with key subgroups. | Audience Strategy Lead | Med | Med |
Initiatives (30–90 days)
| # | Initiative | Description | Owner | Timeline | Dependencies |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | County-level Receipts Database (facts, dollars, dates) | Build a verified repository of local projects and outcomes (e.g., miles paved, clinic hours added, broadband miles, PFAS fixes) with source links and simple visuals to drop into ads. | Research & Comms Analytics | MVP in 2–4 weeks; ongoing updates monthly | State/local data portals and agency reports, Legal/Compliance fact-check and citations, Design to create reusable 'receipt card' templates |
| 2 | Rural Healthcare/Eldercare Delivery Bundle | Policy one-pagers and creative that commit to home-care pay + mileage, respite waitlist cuts, staffed off-hours, and VA navigation fixes, with hotline/office hours for each county. | Health Policy PM | 4–8 weeks to launch; quarterly refresh | Provider networks and home-care agencies, VA liaisons/benefits offices, Field to source real local caregivers and veterans for testimonials |
| 3 | Energy Affordability & Reliability Campaign | Straight-talk creative on propane stability, weatherization rebates that feel simple, utility tree-crew/grid reliability commitments, and winter-bill help that covers a tank. | Energy & Infrastructure PM | 4–8 weeks; scale before winter season | State energy office/utilities for program details, Legal/Compliance on benefit claims, Media to time spend for cold-weather windows |
| 4 | Trades, Small Business, and Public-Contract Reform Comms | Message and advocate for permit simplification, Net-15 payments on public jobs (with interest penalties), affordable bonding, and paid apprenticeships with tool/gas stipends. | Economic Development PM | 6–10 weeks to pilot in key counties | City/County procurement teams, Union/trade school partners, Policy team to draft model standards |
| 5 | Safe Communities Plan (fentanyl, mental health, respectful gun safety) | Calm, practical package: fentanyl response, more mental-health beds and EMT training, and safe-storage/background-checks framed with hunter respect. | Public Safety PM | 6–12 weeks; phased rollout | County sheriffs and EMS leaders, Health systems/behavioral health providers, Community validators (veterans, hunters) |
| 6 | Tech Privacy & Family Online Safety Micro-Campaign | Neighborly explainer ads on data-broker rules, kids’ online safety, and subscription transparency; emphasize autonomy and stewardship, not partisanship. | Tech Policy Lead | 3–6 weeks to launch micro-tests | Policy/legal to translate proposals into plain English, Audience Strategy for faith-friendly framing, Design for ultra-lightweight static/animated formats |
KPIs to Track
| # | KPI | Definition | Target | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thumb-stop rate (0–3s, sound-off) | Share of impressions that pause or view at least 3s on sound-off assets. | >= +25% vs. current baseline within 30 days | Weekly |
| 2 | Completion rate (10–15s assets) | Percent of viewers who reach end-frame on short ads. | >= 40% on rural segments | Weekly |
| 3 | Local specificity coverage | Percent of shipped assets that include a named county/city/road/clinic plus a dollar/date claim with citation. | >= 80% of rural-targeted ads | Bi-weekly |
| 4 | Donation-first CTA share (TOFU) | Share of top-of-funnel ads that show a donate CTA in first screen. | 0% (eliminated) | Weekly |
| 5 | Issue engagement lift (kitchen-table pack) | Relative CTR/engagement on roads/healthcare/broadband/heat/safety vs. generic democracy/extremism slogans. | +35% CTR vs. generic baseline | Bi-weekly |
| 6 | Action conversions from service ads | Calls, sign-ups, or appointments generated from healthcare and energy relief creatives (tracked via unique numbers/links). | 500+ qualified actions per month in target counties | Monthly |
Risks & Mitigations
| # | Risk | Mitigation | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inaccurate or unverified local claims erode trust ('receipts' backfire). | Centralize fact-check in Receipts DB with source links and pre-approved phrasing; add citation on creative. | Research & Compliance |
| 2 | Internal pressure to revert to donation-first or national-slogan creative. | Adopt a two-step funnel (plan-first, donate-later) and report KPI improvements to stakeholders monthly. | Growth & Media Director |
| 3 | Cultural backlash on guns/faith tone. | Use hunter/faith validators, emphasize safe storage and respect; pre-test language with sensitive segments. | Audience Strategy Lead |
| 4 | Perceived creepy targeting or retargeting fatigue. | Frequency caps, avoid retargeting users who hide ads, clear opt-outs, and reduce intrusive tracking. | Media Operations + Privacy Counsel |
| 5 | Bandwidth/format mismatches reduce reach (autoplay audio, heavy files). | Enforce sound-off, lightweight templates in design system and QA file sizes pre-launch. | Design Systems Lead |
Timeline
3–6 weeks: Roll out segmented variants (faith-friendly, trades/hunting, privacy, Great Lakes), begin healthcare/energy micro-tests, reallocate spend from glossy to local assets.
7–12 weeks: Scale healthcare/eldercare and energy campaigns with hotlines; pilot trades/procurement reform messaging with local validators; launch safe communities package.
Ongoing (monthly): KPI reviews, county coverage expansion, seasonal refresh ahead of winter (energy) and roadwork season (infrastructure).
Objective and context
Objective: Evaluate how Michigan voters perceive Democratic Party messaging on economic issues and understand what digital content resonates. This synthesis summarizes what participants said across questions and offers general communication and measurement guidance grounded in their words and examples. It does not provide targeted persuasive strategy.
What we heard across questions (evidence-backed)
- Attention drivers: Short, specific, verifiable messages that feel neighbor-to-neighbor. Participants consistently asked for “dollars and dates” (Lee Carter) and hyper-local nouns-named counties, roads, clinics, union halls, farm stands (e.g., Carolyn Kelley). Calm, adult tone with captions/sound-off access mattered (“I scroll with sound off…”-Maren Hughes). Kitchen-table hooks dominated: roads and plowing; healthcare for seniors/VA and drug prices; broadband and energy/utility relief; water/PFAS fixes; pragmatic public-safety plans.
- Immediate scroll-past: High-gloss or celebrity productions (“If a TV star tells me how to vote, I’m out.”-Michael Ellis), early donation asks and urgency gimmicks (Cindy Schmidt), culture-war shaming, vague national rhetoric, and autoplay/noisy creative (Carolyn Kelley described jumping at sudden audio in a parking lot).
- On “protecting democracy”/“fighting extremism”: Broad agreement with the ideal but strong skepticism of slogans perceived as fundraising or TV talk (“feels like a fundraising line”-Michael Ellis). Voters asked to connect ideals to local, material outcomes-lower bills, reliable roads/plows, functional rural broadband, stable Medicare/Social Security/drug prices, and public safety-with proof (“show the receipts”). Several flagged cultural respect (faith and lawful gun ownership-Lee Carter) and niche local priorities like digital-privacy rules (Miranda Anderson) and Great Lakes protection (Carolyn Kelley).
- “One issue to earn my vote” themes: Practical delivery over posturing. Reliable winter energy and price relief (Cindy Schmidt: “propane is killing us”), rural healthcare/eldercare viability including pay, mileage, and paperwork reduction (Maren Hughes), clearer and faster payments/permits and apprenticeships for trades (Michael Ellis), real broadband and travel-pay fixes, and VA navigation with timely benefits (Lee Carter).
Persona correlations and nuances
- Older rural retirees (60+): High sensitivity to Medicare/Social Security/VA stability, heating/propane costs, and local clinic reliability; prefer low-bandwidth, captioned assets and concrete receipts (Carolyn Kelley, Lee Carter, Cindy Schmidt).
- Younger blue-collar/trades: Emphasize roads/plowing, timely public-contract payments, permit simplification, apprenticeships/tool/gas support, and hunting-land access; reject celebrity/high-gloss creative and moralizing climate rhetoric unless paired with practical energy reliability (Michael Ellis).
- Caregivers/home-health: Seek specific reforms to pay, mileage for long rural distances, staffed nights/weekends, and less paperwork, with clear dates and dollars (Maren Hughes).
- Higher-income rural professionals: Value operational competence (grid/tree crews) and culturally respectful, pro-family framing; distinct interest in digital-privacy/anti–data-broker policy (Miranda Anderson).
Implications, risks, and guardrails (general communication principles)
- Transparency and verification: Use concrete metrics-dollars, dates, miles paved, clinic hours-with citations; participants repeatedly asked for “receipts.”
- Accessibility by default: Short, captioned, sound-off friendly, lightweight assets; avoid autoplay audio given real-world use contexts.
- Local specificity and authenticity: Real places and people over stock city footage/celebrity spots; calm, problem-solving tone.
- Avoid fundraising-first asks in initial exposures; several participants flagged early donate prompts as a turnoff.
- Cultural respect: Acknowledge faith, lawful gun ownership, hunting culture, and rural realities (propane, wood stoves, long drives) when relevant.
- Risks: Unverified claims will backfire; overreliance on abstract slogans; cultural missteps on guns/faith; retargeting fatigue/creepy targeting; and bandwidth/format mismatches.
Next steps and measurement guidance
- Broaden validation: Extend sampling across additional Michigan counties and urban/suburban contrasts; oversample key subgroups (retirees, caregivers, trades, veterans) to confirm segment nuances and quantify preference for “receipts” content.
- Build a fact repository: Assemble county-level, source-linked metrics (e.g., miles paved, clinic hours added, broadband miles, PFAS fixes) to substantiate any public claims and streamline QA.
- Prototype ethically and test: Develop short, captioned variations with and without local nouns; test different proofs (dollars vs. dates vs. before/after visuals); exclude donation-first variants in awareness-phase testing; enforce frequency caps and clear opt-outs.
- Track core KPIs:
- Thumb-stop rate (0–3s, sound-off) and completion rate (10–15s) as primary attention metrics.
- Local-specificity coverage: share of assets that include a named place plus a dollar/date claim with citation.
- Issue engagement lift: compare engagement on kitchen-table topics (roads/healthcare/broadband/heat/safety) vs. abstract slogans.
- User experience safeguards: hide/report rates, frequency, file-size compliance.
- Governance: Centralize fact-checking and pre-clear sensitive language (guns, faith, benefits) with legal/compliance; consult local validators (nurses, road crews, veterans) to ensure accuracy and avoid cultural missteps.
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Research group: Six rural Michigan voters (ages 32–74; retirees, a construction manager, a home-health aide, and a customer success professional) assessed social ads and 2026 vote drivers.
They stop for neighborly, hyper-local proofs-dollars and dates, named roads/clinics, real local people, short captioned assets-and scroll past glossy/celebrity spots, early donation asks, culture-war scolding, vague national rhetoric, and autoplay audio.
On “protecting democracy/fighting extremism,” most agree in principle but see it as fundraising TV talk unless tied to concrete, near-term benefits like lower bills, reliable plows/broadband, Medicare/Social Security/drug-price stability, and pragmatic public safety.
Priority gaps to earn votes center on rural healthcare/eldercare and VA navigation, winter energy and propane affordability/reliability, real broadband, and simpler, faster rules and payments for small trades, delivered with respect for faith, lawful gun ownership, and rural life.
Main insights: Proof-first beats slogans; keep creative short, captioned, low-bandwidth; lead with kitchen-table fixes; avoid donate-first CTAs; and segment variants for faith/privacy, hunting/trades, and Great Lakes stewardship.
Takeaways: Stand up county-level “receipts” assets, remove donation CTAs from awareness ads, ship local issue cards (roads, Medicare/VA, broadband, heat, water, safety) with named places and timelines, and deploy segment-specific creatives to lift attention and trust.
| Name | Response | Info |
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